Update on Earl

Image by maura via Flickr

…TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT…

…PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE…BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

…PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS… THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME RANGE FROM 36 PERCENT ACROSS NASSAU COUNTY…TO AROUND 20 PERCENT IN NYC. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

…WINDS… RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST FOR UPDATES. THE ONSET OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON…AND THEN LAST INTO THE EVENING.

…STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE… AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES EAST OF THE AREA…THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST…RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING INCLUDE THE SHORELINES ADJACENT TO LONG ISLAND SOUND ANS THE BACK BAYS OF NASSAU AND QUEENS DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. HIGH TIDE OCCURS IN NYC AROUND 4 PM EDT…AND ACROSS LONG ISLAND AROUND 7 PM EDT.

…COASTAL HAZARDS… THERE IS A CHANCE THAT LARGE WAVES TODAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL CAUSE BEACH EROSION…WITH WASHOVERS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC FACING SHORELINES.

…RIP CURRENTS… INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ON THE OCEAN WILL DEVELOP TODAY…WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING DANGEROUS INTO THE WEEKEND AT OCEAN BEACHES.

Here Comes Earl

Image by NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center via Flickr

As of 10p.m. Thursday…

…TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT…

…NEW INFORMATION… NONE.

…PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE…BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

…PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS… THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS AT 48 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

…WINDS… AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER…THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS MAY INCREASE. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST FOR UPDATES. THE ONSET OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON…AND THEN LAST INTO THE EVENING.